WHY IT IS TOO DIFFICULT TO DOWN ASSAD?: THE MURPHY LAWS OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Authors : Yiğit Anıl Güzelipek

Pages : 322-330

Doi:10.30520/tjsosci.522048

View : 23 | Download : 7

Publication Date : 2019-02-28

Article Type : Research

Abstract :In the modern history, Arab Spring was one of the most important merciless challenge to military dictatorships all around the Middle East. All the dictators lost their rotten thrones sooner or later except Bashar el-Assad. There are many political or strategic explanations regarding how Assad still partly protects his power and still represents Syria in the position of presidency. On the other hand, sometimes "perfectly” designed international politics fall behind while interpreting the "destined” side of international relations. In other words, sometimes "expect the unexpected” which is the famous formula of Murphy Laws determine the critical developments in international relations. This paper aims to investigate the Assad’s survival based on the Murphy Laws which is considered as one of the natural extension of post-positivist theory in international relations. In order to support the arguments of this paper, other historical developments are also adapted to the study.
Keywords : Arab Spring, Assad, Post-Positivism, Murphy Laws, International Relations