Stability Analysis of a Mathematical Model SI$_{u}$I$_{a}$QR for COVID-19 with the Effect of Contamination Control (Filiation) Strategy

Authors : Ümit Çakan

Pages : 110-123

Doi:10.33401/fujma.863224

View : 19 | Download : 11

Publication Date : 2021-06-01

Article Type : Research

Abstract :In this study, using a system of delay nonlinear ordinary differential equations, we introduce a new compartmental epidemic model considered the effect of filiation (contamination) control strategy to the spread of Covid-19. Firstly, the formulation of this new $SI_{u}I_{a}QR$ epidemic model with delay process and the parameters arised from isolation and filiation is formed. Then the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points of the model is obtained. Also, the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ is found by using the next-generation matrix method, and the results on stabilities of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points are investigated. Finally some examples are presented to show the effect of filiation control strategy.
Keywords : Basic reproduction number, COVID-19, Filiation control strategy, Lyapunov Function, Mathematical epidemiology, Quarantine, Stability Analysis