- Akdeniz Spor Bilimleri Dergisi
- Vol: 5 Issue: Özel Sayı 2 - Akademik Spor Araştırmaları Özel Sayısı Özel Sayı
- Three-Point Rule, Average Goals Per Game and Predictability in Football: A Long-Term Analysis with T...
Three-Point Rule, Average Goals Per Game and Predictability in Football: A Long-Term Analysis with The Markov-Regime Switching Approach
Authors : Hale Kula, Ferit Kula, Zülbiye Kaçay
Pages : 1032-1040
Doi:10.38021/asbid.1209634
View : 8 | Download : 2
Publication Date : 2022-12-23
Article Type : Research
Abstract :In this study, the effects of the three-point rule in football on the average goals per game and the predictability of the matches were investigated by using the Markov-Regime Switching Model. The results obtained in the analysis covering 61 seasons and 3 teams in the example of the Turkish First Division Football League showed that the three-point rule increased the average goals per game, as expected. However, the effects of the three-point rule on the predictability of matches are different for each team.Keywords : Futbol, Üç Puan Kuralı, Öngörülebilirlik, Football, Three-Point Rule, Predictability