- ALKÜ Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
- Vol: 5 Issue: 2
- The Best Fit Flood Probability Distribution for Alibeyköy Basin in İstanbul, Türkiye
The Best Fit Flood Probability Distribution for Alibeyköy Basin in İstanbul, Türkiye
Authors : Mehmet Dikici, Cevza Kazezyilmaz Alhan, Bihrat Önöz
Pages : 40-51
Doi:10.46740/alku.1323214
View : 41 | Download : 27
Publication Date : 2023-09-01
Article Type : Research Article
Abstract :Determination of peak flow rates is crucial in reducing the economic and social impact of flood. Therefore, the investigation of various methods for estimating flood is of paramount importance. Flood frequency analysis can be used as a practical method in predicting the peak flow values as the flood peaks have return periods that are typically much larger than the recording length. In this study, 7 different probability distributions (normal (N), two-parameter lognormal (LN2), three-parameter lognormal (LN3), extreme value type I (Gumbel), generalized extreme value (GEV), Pearson Type III (P3) and Log-Pearson Type III (LP3)) are employed for flood frequency analysis of Alibeyköy Watershed using 44-years of measured annual maximum flow. K-S and PPCC tests are applied to determine the most suitable distributions to estimate the flood flow rate. Based on these tests, GEV and Gumbel distributions appear to be the most preferable distributions in flood flow estimation.Keywords : taşkın frekans analizi, olasılık dağılımı, dönüş periyodu, taşkın debisi